April 2012
20 posts
Monday, April 30th
On today’s economic calendar:-
08:30 Personal Income and Outylays
09:45 Chicago PMI
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
10:30 Dallas Fed Mfg Survey
11:30 3 & 6 Month Bill Auctions
15:00 Farm Prices
Prices rallied overnight, and the 30 minute trend chart looks set to flip bullish. A close above 142’29 will achieve this. There is quite a bit...
Friday, April 27th
On the economic calendar:-
08:30 GDP
Employment Cost Index
09:55 Consumer Sentiment
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Sales up to $8.75 billion
Treasury prices rallied sharply overnight on the Spain crisis, before pulling back at roughly 1:30 est. The 30 minute chart remains bullish, with a close needed below 142’18 to turn it bearish.
Prices are at the bottom of the...
Thursday, April 26th
On the economic calendar:-
08:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Consensus 373K - Prior 387K)
10:00 Pending Home Sales (Consensus 0.5% - Prior -0.5%)
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
11:00 Kansas City Fed Manufacturing Index
3 & 6 Month, & 52 Week Bill Announcements
13:00 7 Year Note Auction
16:30 Fed Balance Sheet and Money Supply
Prices...
Wednesday, April 25th
On the economic calendar:-
07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
08:30 Durable Goods Orders (Consensus -1.7% - Prior 2.4%)
11:30 5 Year Note Auction
12:30 FOMC Meeting Announcement (Consensus 0.25% - Prior 0.25%)
14:00 FOMC Forecasts
14:15 Chairman Press Conference
The Fed is not intervening in the markets today, but all eyes remain on the Fed today. Prices drifted slightly lower overnight,...
Tuesday, April 24th
On today’s economic calendar:-
07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:55 Redbook
09:00 Case-Shiller HPI (Consensus -3.4% - Prior -3.8%)
10:00 New Home Sales (Consensus 318K - Prior 313K)
Consumer Confidence (Consensus 69.5 - Prior 70.2)
Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $5.00 billion
11:30 4 Week Bill Auction
...
Monday, April 23rd
Little in the way of economic news:-
10:15 Fed Treasury Outright Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
11:00 4 Week Bill Announcement
11:30 3 & 6 Month Bill Auctions
Prices rose sharply overnight turning the 30 minute trend chart bullish, and reaching the 1.618 extension level at 142’28.
On the upside, there are no price resistance levels until 144’04, while...
Friday, April 20th
The economic calendar is clear for today, with only Fed involvement:-
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Sales up to $8.75 billion.
Treasury prices eased off overnight, after initially rising to fill the settlement gap at 142’07. The decline was not enough to turn the 30 minute trend bearish - however, a close below 141’23 will do so. Until this occurs, look to trade the long side.
...
Thursday. April 19th
On today’s economic calendar:-
08:30 Initial Jobless Claims (Consensus 375K - Prior 380K)
Continuing Claims (Consensus 3275K - Prior 3251K)
10:00 Existing Home Sales (Consensus 4.62M - Prior 4.59M)
Philadelphia Fed Survey (Consensus 10.3 - Prior 12.5
LEI (Consensus 0.2% - Prior 0.7%)
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
...
Wednesday, April 18th
Very little economic news today:-
07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Sales up to $8.75 billion
13:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $5.00 billion
Treasury prices gained early in the morning, breaking out of the downward sloping regression channel, and seemingly ready to flip the 30 minute trend bullish. A close above 141’21 will accomplish...
Tuesday, April 17th
In today’s economic calendar:-
07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:30 Housing Starts (Consensus 700K - Prior 698K)
08:55 Redbook
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
11:30 4 Week Bill Auction
Bonds continued yesterday’s late afternoon retreat from the highs of 142’09, turning the 30 minute trend chart bearish, before posting a low of...
Monday, April 17th
08:30 Retail Sales & Empire State Mfg Survey
09:00 Treasury International Capital
10:00 Business Inventories & Housing Market Index
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
11:00 4 Week Bill Announcement
11:30 3 & 6 Month Bill Auctions
Speaking today:-
12:30 Sandra Pianalto
15:30 James Bullard
Prices are at an interesting juncture. The short...
Friday, April 13th
On the economic calendar:-
08:30 CPI (Consensus 0.3% - Prior 0.4%)
09:55 Consumer Confidence (Consensus 76.1 - Prior 76.2)
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.00 billion
Speaking today:-
08:00 William Dudley
13:00 Ben Bernanke
Prices drifted higher overnight, flipping the 30 minute trend chart bullish. If this bullish trend is to be maintained, look to initial resistance...
Thursday, April 12th
On today’s economic calendar:-
08:30 International Trade (Consensus -$53.0B - Prior -$52.5B)
Jobless Claims:- Initial (Consensus 355K - Prior 357K)
Continuing (Consensus 3350K - Prior 3338K)
PPI (Consensus 0.3% - Prior 0.4%)
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $5.00 billion
11:00 3 and 6 Month Bill Announcements
...
Wednesday, April 11th
On today’s economic calendar:-
07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
08:30 Import and Export Prices
13:00 10 Year Note Auction
14:00 Beige Book and Treasury Budget
Speaking today:-
08:20 Dennis Lockhart
10:30 Eric Rosengren
16:00 James Bullard
Prices drifted lower overnight, and moments ago(8:00 am), the 30 minute trend chart flipped bearish. Prices are in a fairly well established...
Wednesday, April 4th
On today’s economic calendar:-
07:00 MBA Purchase Applications
07:30 Challenger Job Cut Report
08:15 ADP Employment Report
10:00 ISM Non-manufacturing Index
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $2.0 billion
Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $5.0 billion
Speaking today:-
11:00 John Williams
Prices rebounded overnight, after yesterday’s sell...
Tuesday, April 3rd
In today’s economic calendar:-
07:45 ICSC-Goldman Store Sales
08:55 Redbook
10:00 Factory Orders
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $1.5 billion
11:30 4 Week Bill Auction
52 Week Bill Auction
14:00 FOMC Minutes
Speaking today:-
16:05 John Williams
Treasury bond prices firmed overnight with a low at 137’29 and a high at 138’19. Prices are...
Monday, April 2nd
On the economic calendar:-
10:00 ISM Mfg Index (Consensus - 53, prior - 52.4)
Construction Spending (Consensus - 0.5%, prior - (-0.1%)
10:15 Fed Outright Treasury Coupon Purchases up to $5.0 billion
11:00 4 Week Bill Announcement
11:30 3 & 6 Month Bill Auctions
Speaking today:-
10:00 James Bullard
12:35 Sandra Pianalto
Treasury prices firmed overnight, following...